Module A - Determination of initial conditions and initialization

The goal of Module A during the second phase of MiKlip (MiKlip II) is (i) to improve estimates of initial conditions for the ocean, sea ice and the land soil moisture, (ii) based on those initial conditions to improve initialisation procedures, and finally (iii) to optimise procedures to span the MiKlip forecast ensemble. Through these tightly related and interacting activities, Module A contributes to further improve the MiKlip forecasts produced in Module D, and to set up an infrastructure that can be subsequently used for sustained decadal prediction efforts. As such, Module A supplies the project with initial conditions, know how, and software for assimilation and initialisation methods.

Improved Teleconnection‐Based Dynamical Seasonal Predictions of Boreal Winter

2018 - Geophys. Res. Lett., 45

Dobrynin, M. | D. I. V. Domeisen, W. A. Müller, L. Bell, S. Brune, F. Bunzel, A. Düsterhus, K. Fröhlich, H. Pohlmann, J. Baehr

Full-field initialized decadal predictions with the MPI earth system model: an initial shock in the North Atlantic

2017 - Climate Dynamics, Vol. 49, pp. 1–16.

Jürgen Kröger | Holger Pohlmann, Frank Sienz, Jochem Marotzke, Johanna Baehr, Armin Köhl, Kameswarrao Modali, Iuliia Polkova, Detlef Stammer, Freja S. E. Vamborg, Wolfgang A. Müller

Improved Seasonal Prediction of European Summer Temperatures With New Five‐Layer Soil‐Hydrology Scheme

2017 - Geophysical Research Letters, 45, 346-353

Felix Bunzel | Wolfgang A. Müller, Mikhail Dobrynin, Kristina Fröhlich, Stefan Hagemann, Holger Pohlmann, Tobias Stacke, Johanna Baehr

Hindcast skill for the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation at 26.5°N within two MPI-ESM decadal climate prediction systems.

2016 - Clim. Dyn.

Müller, V. | H. Pohlmann, A. Düsterhus, D. Matei, J. Marotzke, W. A. Müller, M. Zeller and J. Baehr


Institut für Meereskunde,Universität Hamburg
Prof. Dr. Detlef Stammer
+49 40 42838-5052

Dr. Yulia Polkova