Module B - Processes and Modelling

The main goal of Module B is to improve the understanding of processes leading to decadal climate variability. Several of these have already been included in climate models, but their importance has not yet been completely clarified. The simulation of other processes requires sometimes a higher resolution of the model or an extension with additional subsystems. Their incorporation leads to an improvement of the MiKlip prediction system in addition to a bias correction. To reach these goals we pursue the following objectives:

Objective B1: Assessing the effects of enhanced resolution and model bias
Objective B2: Investigating mechanisms of decadal variability
Objective B3: Coupling of additional climate subsystems

Multidecadal-to-centennial SST variability in the MPI-ESM simulation ensemble for the last millennium

2013 - Climate Dynamics, Vol. 40 (5), pp. 1301-1318

Zanchettin, D. | Rubino, A., Matei, D., Bothe, O., and J. H. Jungclaus

The impact of heterogeneous surface temperatures on the 2 m air temperature over the Arctic Ocean under clear skies in spring

2013 - The Cryosphere, Vol. 7 (1), pp. 153-166

Tetzlaff, A. | Kaleschke, L., Lüpkes, C., Ament, F. and Vihma, T.

Delayed winter warming: A robust decadal response to strong tropical volcanic eruptions?

2013 - Geophys. Res. Lett., Vol. 40 (1), pp. 204-209

Zanchettin D. | C. Timmreck, O. Bothe, S.J. Lorenz, G. Hegerl, H.-F. Graf, J. Luterbacher, and J.H. Jungclaus

Forecast skill of multi-year seasonal means in the decadal prediction system of the Max Planck Institute for Meteorology

2012 - Geophys. Res. Lett., Vol. 39 (22)

Müller, W. A. | J. Baehr, H. Haak, J. H. Jungclaus, J. Kröger, D. Matei, D. Notz, H. Pohlmann, J.-S. von Storch, and J. Marotzke

Modeling the climatic effects of large explosive volcanic eruptions

2012 - Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change Vol. 3 (6), pp. 545–564

Timmreck C.

The preconditioning of major sudden stratospheric warmings

2012 - J. Geophys. Res., 117, D04101

Bancalá, S. | K. Krüger, and M. Giorgetta