Module D - Synthesis

MiKlip II improves the decadal climate prediction system of the first MiKlip phase through further research and development. Module D provides the essential scientific and technical infrastructure for the prediction system.

The main goals of Module D are:

  • The further development and improvement of the global decadal prediction and evaluation system,
  • The transfer of the decadal prediction and evaluation system for operational use at the DWD
  • Pilot studies on the use of decadal climate prediction in government agencies and the private sector
  • MiKlip Coordination

MiKlip II is divided in two development stages: one pre-operational and one quasi-operational phase. In each of the phases Module D produces retrospective predictions – “hindcasts”, predictions, as well as analysis of these. All of these are accessible for all project partners on the project-owned server – the MiKlip server.

Forecast-oriented assessment of decadal hindcast skill for North Atlantic SST

2019 - Geophysical Research Letters, 46, 11444-11454

Borchert, L.F. | Düsterhus, A., Brune, S., Müller, W.A., Baehr, J.

Robust skill of decadal climate predictions

2019 - npj Clim Atmos Sci 2, 13 (2019)

Smith, D.M. | Eade, R., Scaife, A.A., Caron, L.-P., Danabasoglu, G., DelSole, T. M., Delworth, T., Doblas-Reyes, F.J., Dunstone, N.J., Hermanson, L., Kharin, V., Kimoto, M., Merryfield, W.J., Mochizuki, T., Müller, W.A., Pohlmann, P., Yeager, S., Yang, X.

Improvement in the decadal prediction skill of the northern hemisphere extra-tropical winter circulation through increased model resolution

2019 - Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss.

Schuster, M. | Grieger, J., Richling, A., Schartner, T., Illing, S., Kadow, C., Müller, W. A., Pohlmann, H., Pfahl, S., Ulbrich, U.

User-oriented global predictions of the GPCC drought index for the next decade

2019 - Meteorologische Zeitschrift Vol. 28 No. 1 (2019)

Paxian, A. | Ziese, M., Kreienkamp, F., Pankatz, K., Brand, S., Pasternack, A., Pohlmann, H., Modali, K., Früh, B.


Max-Planck-Institute for Meteorology
Prof. Dr. Jochem Marotzke

Max-Planck-Institute for Meteorology
Dr. Sebastian Hettrich