Module D - Synthesis

MiKlip II improves the decadal climate prediction system of the first MiKlip phase through further research and development. Module D provides the essential scientific and technical infrastructure for the prediction system.

The main goals of Module D are:

  • The further development and improvement of the global decadal prediction and evaluation system,
  • The transfer of the decadal prediction and evaluation system for operational use at the DWD
  • Pilot studies on the use of decadal climate prediction in government agencies and the private sector
  • MiKlip Coordination


MiKlip II is divided in two development stages: one pre-operational and one quasi-operational phase. In each of the phases Module D produces retrospective predictions – “hindcasts”, predictions, as well as analysis of these. All of these are accessible for all project partners on the project-owned server – the MiKlip server.
  

Improved Teleconnection‐Based Dynamical Seasonal Predictions of Boreal Winter

2018 - Geophys. Res. Lett., 45

Dobrynin, M. | D. I. V. Domeisen, W. A. Müller, L. Bell, S. Brune, F. Bunzel, A. Düsterhus, K. Fröhlich, H. Pohlmann, J. Baehr

Parametric decadal climate forecast recalibration (DeFoReSt 1.0)

2018 - Geosci. Model Dev., 11, 351-368, 2018

Alexander Pasternack | Jonas Bhend, Mark A. Liniger, Henning W. Rust, Wolfgang A. Müller, Uwe Ulbrich

Full-field initialized decadal predictions with the MPI earth system model: an initial shock in the North Atlantic

2017 - Climate Dynamics, Vol. 49, pp. 1–16.

Jürgen Kröger | Holger Pohlmann, Frank Sienz, Jochem Marotzke, Johanna Baehr, Armin Köhl, Kameswarrao Modali, Iuliia Polkova, Detlef Stammer, Freja S. E. Vamborg, Wolfgang A. Müller

Improved Seasonal Prediction of European Summer Temperatures With New Five‐Layer Soil‐Hydrology Scheme

2017 - Geophysical Research Letters, 45, 346-353

Felix Bunzel | Wolfgang A. Müller, Mikhail Dobrynin, Kristina Fröhlich, Stefan Hagemann, Holger Pohlmann, Tobias Stacke, Johanna Baehr

Impact of Observed North Atlantic Multidecadal Variations to European Summer Climate: A Linear Baroclinic Response to Surface Heating

2017 - Climate Dynamics, Vol. 48 (11–11), pp. 3547–3563

Ghosh, R. | W. A. Müller, J. Baehr, and J. Bader

Contact

Max-Planck-Institute for Meteorology
Prof. Dr. Jochem Marotzke

Max-Planck-Institute for Meteorology
Dr. Sebastian Hettrich
sebastian.hettrich(at)nospammpimet.mpg.de