Module D - Synthesis

MiKlip II improves the decadal climate prediction system of the first MiKlip phase through further research and development. Module D provides the essential scientific and technical infrastructure for the prediction system.

The main goals of Module D are:

  • The further development and improvement of the global decadal prediction and evaluation system,
  • The transfer of the decadal prediction and evaluation system for operational use at the DWD
  • Pilot studies on the use of decadal climate prediction in government agencies and the private sector
  • MiKlip Coordination


MiKlip II is divided in two development stages: one pre-operational and one quasi-operational phase. In each of the phases Module D produces retrospective predictions – “hindcasts”, predictions, as well as analysis of these. All of these are accessible for all project partners on the project-owned server – the MiKlip server.
  

Improved forecast skill in the tropics in the new MiKlip decadal climate predictions

2013 - Geophys. Res. Lett., Vol. 40, pp. 5798-5802

Pohlmann, H. | W. A. Müller, K. Kulkarni, M. Kameswarrao, D. Matei, F. S. E. Vamborg, C. Kadow, S. Illing, J. Marotzke

Mechanisms of aerosol-forced AMOC variability in a state of the art climate model

2013 - J. Geophys. Res. Oceans, 118

Menary, M. B. | C. D. Roberts, M. D. Palmer, P. R. Halloran, L. Jackson, R. A. Wood, W. A. Müller, D. Matei, and S.-K. Lee

Predicting multiyear North Atlantic Ocean variability

2013 - Journal of Geophysical Research-Oceans, Vol. 118, pp. 1087-1098

Hazeleger, W. | B. Wouters, G. van Oldenborgh, S. Corti, D. Smith, N. Dunstone, J. Kroeger, H. Pohlmann, and J.-S. von Storch

A comparison of full-field and anomaly initialization for seasonal to decadal climate prediction

2013 - Climate Dynamics, Vol. 41, pp. 3325-3338

Smith, D. | R. Eade, and H. Pohlmann

Predictability of the mid-latitude Atlantic meridional overturning circulation in a multi-model system

2013 - Clim Dyn, Vol. 41, pp. 775-785

Pohlmann, H. | D. Smith, M. Balmaseda, N. Keenlyside, S. Masina, D. Matei, W. Müller, and P. Rogel

Forecast skill of multi-year seasonal means in the decadal prediction system of the Max Planck Institute for Meteorology

2012 - Geophys. Res. Lett., Vol. 39 (22)

Müller, W. A. | J. Baehr, H. Haak, J. H. Jungclaus, J. Kröger, D. Matei, D. Notz, H. Pohlmann, J.-S. von Storch, and J. Marotzke

Contact

Max-Planck-Institute for Meteorology
Prof. Dr. Jochem Marotzke

Max-Planck-Institute for Meteorology
Dr. Sebastian Hettrich
sebastian.hettrich(at)nospammpimet.mpg.de