The INTEGRATION project provides a standardised data and evaluation system for application within the MiKlip system. The application system enables the assessment of the MiKlip system during each of its development phases. Research progress from different modules of MiKlip directly flows into the system enabling efficient development and continuous improvement of the MiKlip system.
The application system provides efficient and comprehensive access to the model data base as well as to evaluation data sets. The system includes tools for comprehensive analysis and visualisation of results. A module for meta data is developed including detailed information on model output, data used for driving the simulations, datasets used for the calibration of the models and their components as well as basic information on validation and quality control status including information on the data used for validation of the MiKlip forecast system. The scientific development from other MiKlip modules regarding the evaluation and interpretation of decadal scale predictions supports the development of the evaluation system. Additionally, standardised methods like metrics which are suitable for decadal scale forecasts and their evaluation are developed. This enables comprehensive assessment and monitoring of the forecast skill of the system forming the basis for quality check and further development of the MiKlip system.
The application system is developed as an easy to use low-end application minimising technical requirements for users within MiKlip and potential end users outside of MiKlip. It is designed for interactive usage via a website based internet portal. It provides comprehensive information on the forecasts and access to the different data products. Moreover, the installation of the web based portal will finally support dissemination of decadal scale forecasts to the public.
This description regards the project during the first phase of MiKlip. Integration continues in MiKlip II, in Module D WP1 - FLEXFORDEC/INTEGRATION.
Institut für Meteorologie, Freie Universität Berlin
Prof. Dr. Ulrich Cubasch
Prof. Dr. Uwe Ulbrich