Module B - Processes and Modelling

The main goal of Module B is to improve the understanding of processes leading to decadal climate variability. Several of these have already been included in climate models, but their importance has not yet been completely clarified. The simulation of other processes requires sometimes a higher resolution of the model or an extension with additional subsystems. Their incorporation leads to an improvement of the MiKlip prediction system in addition to a bias correction. To reach these goals we pursue the following objectives:

Objective B1: Assessing the effects of enhanced resolution and model bias
Objective B2: Investigating mechanisms of decadal variability
Objective B3: Coupling of additional climate subsystems

Predicting the variable ocean carbon sink

2019 - Science Advances 17 Apr 2019: Vol. 5, no. 4

Li, H. | Ilyina, T., Müller, W.A., Landschützer, P.

Disproportionately strong climate forcing from extratropical explosive volcanic eruptions

2019 - Nature Geosciencevolume 12, pages100–107

Toohey, M. | Krüger, K., Schmidt, H., Timmreck, C., Sigl, M., Stoffel, M., Wilson, R.

Initialization and Ensemble Generation for Decadal Climate Predictions: A Comparison of Different Methods

2019 - Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems

Polkova, I | Brune, S., Kadow, C., Romanova, V., Gollan, G., Baehr, J., Glowienka-Hense, R., Greatbatch, R.J., Hense, A., Illing, S., Köhl, A., Kröger, J., Müller, W.A., Pankatz, K., Stammer, D.

Factors Influencing the Seasonal Predictability of Northern Hemisphere Severe Winter Storms

2018 - Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 46, no. 1, 365-373

Hansen, F. | Kruschke, T., Greatbatch, R.J., Weisheimer, A.

Tropical rainfall predictions from multiple seasonal forecast systems

2018 - International Journal of Climatology, Vol. 39, no.2, 974-988

Scaife, A. | Ferranti, L., Alves, O., Athanasidis, P., Baehr, J., Deque, M., Dippe, T., Dunestone, N., Fereday, D., Gudgel, R.G., Greatbatch, R., Hermanson, L., Imada, Y., Jain, S., Kumar, A., MacLachlan, C., Merryfield, W., Müller, W.A., Ren, H.-L., Smith, D., Takaya, Y., Vecchi, G., Yang, X.

The Interactive Stratospheric Aerosol Model Intercomparison Project (ISA-MIP): motivation and experimental design

2018 - Geosci. Model Dev., 11, 2581-2608

Claudia Timmreck | Graham W. Mann, Valentina Aquila, Rene Hommel, Lindsay A. Lee, Anja Schmidt, Christoph Brühl, Simon Carn, Mian Chin, Sandip S. Dhomse, Thomas Diehl, Jason M. English, Michael J. Mills, Ryan Neely, Jianxiong Sheng, Matthew Toohey, and Debra Weisenstein