Realistic Quasi‐Biennial Oscillation Variability in Historical and Decadal Hindcast Simulations Using CMIP6 Forcing

2019 - Geophysical Research Letters, 46.

Pohlmann, H. | Müller, W.A., Bittner, M., Hettrich, S., Modali, K., Pankatz, K., Marotzke, J.

Decadal Predictions of the Probability of Occurrence for Warm Summer Temperature Extremes

2019 - Geophys. Res. Lett.

Borchert, L.F. | Pohlmann, H., Baehr, J., Neddermann, N.-C., Suarez-Gutierrez, L., Müller, W.A.

Forecast-oriented assessment of decadal hindcast skill for North Atlantic SST

2019 - Geophysical Research Letters, 46, 11444-11454

Borchert, L.F. | Düsterhus, A., Brune, S., Müller, W.A., Baehr, J.

Skill and added value of the MiKlip regional decadal prediction system for temperature over Europe

2019 - Tellus A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, 71:1, 1-19

Feldmann, H. | Pinto, J.G., Laube, N., Uhlig, M., Moemken, J., Pasternack, A., Früh, B., Pohlmann, H., Kottmeier, C.

Robust skill of decadal climate predictions

2019 - npj Clim Atmos Sci 2, 13 (2019)

Smith, D.M. | Eade, R., Scaife, A.A., Caron, L.-P., Danabasoglu, G., DelSole, T. M., Delworth, T., Doblas-Reyes, F.J., Dunstone, N.J., Hermanson, L., Kharin, V., Kimoto, M., Merryfield, W.J., Mochizuki, T., Müller, W.A., Pohlmann, P., Yeager, S., Yang, X.

Improvement in the decadal prediction skill of the northern hemisphere extra-tropical winter circulation through increased model resolution

2019 - Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss.

Schuster, M. | Grieger, J., Richling, A., Schartner, T., Illing, S., Kadow, C., Müller, W. A., Pohlmann, H., Pfahl, S., Ulbrich, U.

User-oriented global predictions of the GPCC drought index for the next decade

2019 - Meteorologische Zeitschrift Vol. 28 No. 1 (2019)

Paxian, A. | Ziese, M., Kreienkamp, F., Pankatz, K., Brand, S., Pasternack, A., Pohlmann, H., Modali, K., Früh, B.

Development and prospects of the regional MiKlip decadal prediction system over Europe: predictive skill, added value of regionalization, and ensemble size dependency

2019 - Earth Syst. Dynam., 10, 171–187, 2019

Reyers, M. | Feldmann, H., Mieruch, S., Pinto, J. G., Uhlig, M., Ahrens, B., Früh, B., Modali, K., Laube, N., Moemken, J., Müller, W., Schädler, G., Kottmeier, C.

Initialization and Ensemble Generation for Decadal Climate Predictions: A Comparison of Different Methods

2019 - Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems

Polkova, I | Brune, S., Kadow, C., Romanova, V., Gollan, G., Baehr, J., Glowienka-Hense, R., Greatbatch, R.J., Hense, A., Illing, S., Köhl, A., Kröger, J., Müller, W.A., Pankatz, K., Stammer, D.

Predicted Chance That Global Warming Will Temporarily Exceed 1.5 °C

2018 - Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 45, no. 21, 11,895-11,903

Smith, D.M. | Scaife, A. A., Hawkins, E. , Bilbao, R., Boer, G.J., Caian, M., Caron, L.‐P., Danabasoglu, G., Delworth, T., Doblas‐Reyes, F.J., Doescher, R., Dunstone, N.J., Eade, R., Hermanson, L., Ishii, M., Kharin, V., Kimoto, M., Koenigk, T., Kushnir, Y., Matei, D., Meehl, G.A., Menegoz, M., Merryfield, W.J., Mochizuki, T., Müller, W.A., Pohlmann, H., Power, S., Rixen, M., Sospedra‐Alfonso, R., Tuma, M., Wyser, K., Yang, X., Yeager, S.